PitchBook News - VCs eye open-source models for gen AI

Forecasting M&A's recovery; Europe's VC dealmaking in 5 charts; EQT auction plan joins hunt for liquidity
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The Daily Pitch: VC
October 26, 2023
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Today's Top Stories  
M&A recovery gets pushed out to 2024
M&A deal value nearly hit a 10-year low in the third quarter, but market conditions are pointing to a recovery next year. Our Q3 2023 Global M&A Report, sponsored by Liberty GTS, breaks down trends shaping dealmaking and explores the signs for a revival.

Trillions of dollars in dry powder for PE sponsors and cash piles kept on hand by corporations are positioned for new deals. In addition, lower valuations may spur public strategic buyers to scoop up private targets.
read the report
 
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VCs eye open-source large language models for generative AI's future
(Jenna O'Malley/PitchBook News)
OpenAI and the other main providers of large language models, which make up the underlying technology of generative AI, are facing their biggest threat so far—and it isn't a Big Tech incumbent.

Startups are embracing open-source versions of these models with the encouragement of their VCs investors, which are making an effort to deploy their capital is deployed more efficiently. Switching to these open-source models, VCs are betting, will drive down costs set by the big LLM providers and will lower the barriers to entry.
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5 charts: Europe's VC dealmaking still falling short
(David Johnson/Getty Images)
VC investment in Europe saw an uptick in deal value in Q3, but annual totals are set to fall short of last year's figures.

We explore the most important deal, exit and fundraising trends featured in our Q3 2023 European Venture Report.
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EQT's stock auction plan joins intensifying hunt for liquidity
(Jenna O'Malley/PitchBook News)
As we near the end of the year, a recovery in the PE exit market still looks some way off.

In the first nine months of the year, there were just 885 PE exits in the US worth a combined $182.9 billion, according to PitchBook's Q3 2023 US PE Breakdown, putting the year on track for the lowest annual totals in a decade. Europe, meanwhile, has seen 775 exits close over the period, PitchBook data shows, compared to 1,455 for the entirety of last year.

This lack of liquidity has driven PE firms to use ever more creative ways to redistribute capital to their LPs. A recent example is Swedish PE giant EQT, which plans to conduct private stock sales for its portfolio companies in order to provide liquidity to its LPs.
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Green shoots appear in European PE
European private equity deal value may have fallen compared with last quarter, but our Q3 2023 European PE Breakdown outlines where a slow recovery may be building and where activity has been brisk.
  • While investors have stepped away from mega-deals, the median deal size has nonetheless increased quarter-over-quarter.

  • Exits are picking up, supported by a thawing in the IPO markets. But secondary buyouts account for a significant share of activity.

  • Buyout mega-funds led by experienced managers continue to dominate fundraising.
read the report
 
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Recommended Reads
Your "set it and forget it" 401(k) made you rich, but is it ready for what's next? [The Wall Street Journal]

Okta's latest security breach is haunted by the ghost of incidents past. [Wired]

23andMe will address your lurking genetic risks for $1,200 a year. [Bloomberg]
 
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A message from Apex Group  

A bigger, more complex industry eBook

In Apex Group's latest e-book, "A bigger, more complex industry," Apex unpacks the specific trends yet to take place in the industry, including themes such as technological advancements, political changes, and economic shifts. What are some of these potential trends that could shape the private equity industry in the coming decades?

Apex is predicting … a sharp increase in global interconnectedness and integration, a stronger focus on sustainability and ESG, data transparency and technology and an uptick of alternative investments.

To find out more, download the Apex eBook on the Apex Group website here.
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People  
Former Credit Suisse COO Francesca McDonagh is joining Montagu Private Equity-backed Universal Investment as the Frankfurt-based fund group's CEO.
 
VC Deals  
CentML raised $27 million in a seed round led by Gradient Ventures for its machine learning model optimization platform.

Webcam hardware startup Opal Camera raised a $17 million Series A led by Founders Fund.

Eldercare technology company Sage raised a $15 million Series A led by Maveron.

OnsiteIQ, which offers a construction platform for commercial real estate, raised a $14 million Series B led by Vertical Venture Partners.

Enterprise AI sales tech startup Siro secured $14 million in a Series A led by CRV.

Dublin's Kota, which offers an insurance and retirement platform for companies, has secured €5 million in a round led by EQT Ventures.
 
PE Deals  
KKR is close to acquiring a $400 million stake in OMS Group, a Malaysia-based subsea cable company, in a deal that would value OMS at nearly $1 billion, Bloomberg reported.

Macquarie Asset Management agreed to acquire a majority stake in fiber internet provider SwyftFiber, based in Tennessee, through a $275 million structured equity investment, Bloomberg reported.

Oaktree Capital Management and JHR Capital-backed Foodtastic, a Canadian restaurant franchisor, acquired British Columbia-based quick-service restaurant brand Noodlebox.

Single family office Pearl Street Equity acquired Salt Lake City-based Famous Brands International, a franchising business that owns brands Mrs. Fields and TCBY.
 
Portfolio Companies  
EQT-backed Lithuanian online marketplace operator Vinted is considering a share sale that could be worth over €200 million, the Financial Times reported.
 
Fundraising  
Alpine Investors closed a $3.4 billion single-asset continuation fund for Apex Service Partners, a Tampa-based residential home services company. Backers include Blackstone Strategic Partners, HarbourVest Partners and Lexington Partners.

Fintech specialist VC Flourish Ventures raised $350 million for its evergreen fund, TechCrunch reported.

Tikehau Capital launched the latest iteration of its Brienne cybersecurity fund and held a €200 million first close.
 
Investors  
New Zealand pension fund Generate KiwiSaver Scheme has committed $25 million to Los Angeles-based PE real estate firm CIM Group.
 
Chart of the Day  
"Nontraditional investors include sovereign wealth funds and hedge funds, among others. Since peak participation in 2021, such market players saw their private market investments become a larger part of allocations as public equity markets valuations declined. As a result, these investors looked to rebalance their portfolios, resulting in less VC deal activity in 2022. Since then, whilst participation has declined somewhat, we are witnessing more resilience than the declines seen in 2022."

Source: PitchBook's Q3 2023 European Venture Report
 
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