PitchBook News - Our 2024 outlooks

Analyst predictions across US venture capital, private equity, healthcare, emerging technologies, the LP perspective, and European private capital...
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The Daily Pitch: VC
January 1, 2024
The Daily Pitch is powered by PitchBook’s industry-defining research and best-in-class data
Happy New Year!

Our news and research teams will be back from a holiday break this week, writing fresh stories starting tomorrow. The Daily Pitch will return to full coverage on Jan. 3.

Today, we're highlighting our 2024 analyst outlooks, featuring forecasts and projections for the coming year:
 
7 predictions for US VC in 2024
Our analysts see moderate improvement on the horizon for the VC ecosystem on the back of economic strength and signals of easing rates.

Dive into our US Venture Capital Outlook for more:
  • Expect VC fundraising to increase slightly over 2023 yet continue to fall short of recent years.

  • We forecast nontraditional investors will reenter the asset class, giving some relief to VCs supporting portfolio companies.

  • The number of unicorns and their collective valuation is set to decline as more are forced to raise capital.
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US PE trends to watch in 2024
After a year characterized by a slowdown in dealmaking and fundraising, our analysts shared expectations for 2024 in their US Private Equity Outlook:
  • There is likely to be a substantial amount of new continuation funds as PE managers navigate a challenging exit landscape.

  • Fundraising overall may slide in the face of slower distributions.

  • Technology-focused funds are expected to outperform their generalist peers as the sector is buoyed by its resilient fundamentals and improving company valuations.
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2024 in healthcare: GenAI, VBC consolidation, surgical robots
Burned by cost inflation and negative reimbursement trends, US health systems are beleaguered.

At the same time, healthcare investors have been spooked by some high-profile failed bets in biopharma.

Our 2024 Healthcare Outlook predicts that both forces will have a depressing effect on healthcare deals in both VC and PE—with possible exceptions for AI and anti-obesity drug companies.

No matter what happens, it won't be a dull year:
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A look ahead at the LP playbook
In 2023, LPs found themselves in uncharted waters, with a frosty dealmaking environment and an exit drought suffocating distributions.

This year, these fiduciaries will be reevaluating the newfound risks and opportunities for their portfolios.

Our Allocator Outlook explores these developments and the potential paths forward for LPs and their private market allocations.

In particular, we focus on three factors that impact return expectations across asset classes:
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A promising outlook next year for industrial tech
What does 2024 hold for industrial tech verticals like agtech, clean energy, and more?

Will drone delivery find mass adoption?

Will robots be commonplace on every farm?

Our Industrial Technology Outlook forecasts how these landscapes will change:
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What 2024 has in store for consumer tech
Will AI-powered assistants help e-commerce bounce back from a record decline in deal value?

How will AI tools drive foodtech investment?

Our 2024 Consumer Technology Outlook projects what's on the horizon for these verticals plus others like gaming and fintech:
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The enterprising outlook for enterprise tech
Which generative AI segment will be the next to take off? And who will hit unicorn status?

Will crypto start to shift toward centralized financial institutions, deviating from its original emphasis?

In our 2024 Enterprise Technology Outlook, we also weigh in on other parts of AI, fintech, and insurtech:
read our free outlook
 
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6 predictions for European private capital
Economic uncertainty weighed on European PE and VC activity last year, but will the prospect of greater interest rate stability and improved market confidence bring a change of fortunes in 2024?

Read our analysts' predictions in our European Private Capital Outlook, including:
  • PE fundraising is expected to become even more concentrated in the region's biggest funds.

  • PE mega-deals will likely remain muted.

  • A recovery in VC-backed IPOs is unlikely, but there is hope for VC fundraising.
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We'd also like to highlight the eight new verticals we added to Industry & Technology Research coverage throughout last year.

You can access free previews of these premium reports: Stay tuned for more coverage launches later this year!
 
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