🇪🇺 Europe's 860 billion rescue package

Teamwork makes the dream work | Smoking stocks kill it |
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Hi Reader, here's what you need to know for July 22nd in 3:03 minutes.

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Today's big stories

  1. The European Union finally agreed to an $860 billion bailout package
  2. Goldman Sachs has just upped its outlook for one controversial and fast-rising tech stock – Read Now
  3. Coca-Cola and Philip Morris reported better-than-expected earnings
1/3

Come To Papa

Come To Papa

What’s Going On Here?

After four days of bluffs, tells, and intense eye contact, European Union leaders agreed on Tuesday to cash in an $860 billion bailout for the region (tweet this).

What Does This Mean?

The so-called recovery fund will be split roughly 50/50 between grants and low interest rate loans. It’ll be financed by eurozone-wide loans that are being issued for the very first time, and will mostly go to the industries – like tourism – and countries – like Italy – that’ve been hit hardest by the coronavirus pandemic. The environment is benefiting too: almost a third of the money has been earmarked for initiatives to fight climate change and reduce greenhouse gas emissions – including via Europe’s world-leading “green bonds”.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Take slow for an answer.
Ahead of the announcement, key European stock market indexes rose, the value of the euro increased versus other major currencies, and investors bought up even the riskiest of eurozone countries’ bonds. In other words, investors appeared to have already accounted for – or “priced in” – a positive outcome, and the response to the news in stock, bond, and currency markets on Tuesday was accordingly calm. If Europe’s leaders had folded without a deal, investors might’ve scrambled to sell off assets instead. It just goes to show how future headlines are often reflected in markets ahead of time, putting retail investors at a disadvantage when they try to react in real time.

Zooming out: U-B-Yes!
Swiss investment bank UBS’s stock rose 3% after announcing better-than-expected second-quarter earnings on Tuesday, partly thanks to a similar boost in its trading business that US rivals reported seeing last week. In encouraging signs for investors in other European banks, UBS also said it’d aim to keep its shareholder payouts stable this year – primarily through dividends but with an eye on share buybacks, which the bank hopes to resume toward the end of the year.

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2/3 Premium

Peloton Gets An Upgrade

What’s Going On Here?

Investment bank Goldman Sachs broke away from the pack this week, posting a price target for Peloton’s controversial stock that suggests its 100% rise in 2020 could have further to run…

What Does This Mean?

> Find out with Finimize Premium

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3/3

The Bare Necessities

The Bare Necessities

What’s Going On Here?

Drinks magnate Coca-Cola and tobacco firm Philip Morris (PM) can forget about their worries and their strife for a moment: the “consumer staples” companies both reported better-than-expected earnings on Tuesday.

What Does This Mean?

Consumer staples companies sell essentials that people tend to buy no matter what, which was pretty clear from PM's results: the tobacconist had the addictive qualities of its smoky wares to thank for its own stronger-than-expected quarter. Coke, meanwhile, reported a profit that beat investors’ forecasts, even as the number of products it sold in April and May shrank. That might’ve been because about half its revenue comes from home drinkers, unlike arch-rival Pepsi which relies more on eat-out locations. The cash it saved late last month might’ve helped too: the soda purveyor announced it’d pause all social media advertising for 30 days.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Sitting on defense.
The seemingly ever-present demand for consumer staples’ products gives their stocks a “defensive” quality that investors look for in an economic downturn. Stable demand makes it easier to predict how much those companies are likely to earn – and at a time when American companies are expected to report 44% lower profits than the same time last year, that relative certainty can give defensive stocks the edge over their “cyclical” counterparts, whose earnings rise and fall with the economy.

The bigger picture: So Shere Khan of you.
Shares of companies that enable vices like high sugar consumption and smoking are sometimes referred to as “sin stocks”, and some investors avoid buying them for ethical reasons. But those undesirable characteristics are precisely what make such companies attractive to less conscientious investors, since lots of customers are hooked on their products. Just look at cigarettes: their prices have risen relentlessly around the world, but PM still managed to shift 766 billion packets last year.

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💬 Quote of the day

“Imperfection is beauty, madness is genius, and it’s better to be absolutely ridiculous than absolutely boring.”

– Marilyn Monroe (an American actress, model, and singer)
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“Brokers primarily give retail investors access to financial markets, Ife. They collate orders from a number of relatively small investors and group them together into something big enough to warrant trading in a large venue. Without them, you’d be forced to register directly with exchanges and the relevant authorities – and you’d probably need to be a big enough fish to make that worthwhile for them. Some brokers also provide research, advice, and other services to their clients – which is partly why some disruptive, online-only brokers have undercut their old-school rivals by offering the basic services for free.”

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📚 What we're reading

  • Easy peasy workouts to get you ripped (Outside)
  • Leadership tips from team Antarctica (Fast Company)
  • How sugar conquered the world (Saveur)

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