Finimize - 😢 Vaccines won't save oil

The IEA signs a reality check | Tencent's health bar is full |

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Hi Reader, here's what you need to know for November 13th in 3:05 minutes.

☕️ Finimized over a café con leche at Plenti in Madrid, Spain (17°C/62°F ⛅️)

Today's big stories

  1. The International Energy Agency cut its global oil demand outlook
  2. You should be wary of free trading apps, but not for the data-harvesting reasons you might think – Read Now
  3. Chinese titan Tencent reported better-than-expected earnings
1.

Fake News

Fake News

What’s Going On Here?

Call the International Energy Agency (IEA) crazy, but it doesn’t think the recently announced vaccine will work on the oil industry: it cut its forecast for global oil demand on Thursday (tweet this).

What Does This Mean?

Oil’s price has been rising since Pfizer and BioNTech reported the success of their coronavirus vaccine trial earlier this week, reinvigorating hopes for an uptick in demand. But the IEA has been quick to poop on that particular party, saying it doesn’t expect demand to rise in any significant way till late 2021.

The IEA report came the day after OPEC – an alliance between the world’s most powerful oil-producing nations – lowered its outlook for next year, even after the group cut production a few months ago in an effort to stabilize prices. It’s now expected to gradually ramp up production again, and it'll meet at the end of this month to work out how best to go about it.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Nice try.
Big oil companies have more than just lower demand to deal with: the US president-elect’s green energy plan is also a threat to the dusky nectar. Even so, the prospect of the country’s most progressive climate strategy in history doesn’t seem to have fazed industry bigshots, who think the newcomer’s ambitious plans are likely to be toned down – if not blocked altogether.

The bigger picture: U holding up K?
A lack of demand isn’t just punishing the oil industry: the UK said on Thursday that its economy is still almost 10% smaller than it was before the pandemic, even though last quarter saw the country’s biggest growth ever. To add insult to injury, its recovery is trailing behind its G7 buddies, while new lockdown measures could be about to push the country back into recession. At least the UK’s central bank was prepared for this: it pumped more money into the economy last week to keep it from going into freefall.

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2. Analyst Take

How Trading Apps Sell You To Make Money

What’s Going On Here?

If you know trading apps like Robinhood or Ameritrade, you’ll know they don’t ask you to pay fees when you trade with them.

But they have to make money somehow, and that’s using the controversial practice of “payment for order flow” – essentially selling your trading data to market makers.

Thing is, Larry Tabb – head of market structure research at Bloomberg Intelligence – doesn’t actually think that’s such a bad thing for you. In fact, it might just be a win-win.

What is a little more controversial, he says, is trading apps’ efforts to lure you toward options – a tricky investment that can undo even the savviest of traders.

Check out today’s interview with Larry to find out why you want to be wary of trading apps’ options kick, as well as why payment for order flow isn’t such a scary concept after all.

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3.

Fun And Games

Fun And Games

What’s Going On Here?

Tencent isn’t playing around: the Chinese conglomerate behind League of Legends reported better-than-expected earnings on Thursday.

What Does This Mean?

Tencent’s video game segment – its main and most profitable business – did a lot better than analysts were expecting. And that’s not just because its virtual worlds have been providing some much-needed escapism from the real one: the conglomerate has a network of investments in most of the country’s tech companies too – lots of which got a big boost from last quarter’s tech stock rally.

Still, this update came hot on the heels of a regulatory clampdown on Chinese tech companies earlier this week, which led to a massive sell-off in their stocks. But Tencent reckons that because its video game business makes it an entertainment company, it’s less vulnerable to the incoming anti-monopoly rules, which seem more focused on ecommerce platforms.

Why Should I Care?

Zooming in: 1UP.
If you needed any more proof that video games are a lockdown favorite, just look at Sony’s PlayStation 5: the console – which launched on Thursday – sold out in one day, and is already being peddled for double its retail price on online platforms. Analysts are expecting shortages – as well as those for Microsoft’s Xbox Series X – to extend into 2021. “Keep ‘em coming,” the UK’s biggest internet providers might be urging: high video game demand is causing record broadband usage.

Zooming out: Ready to mingle. 
Tencent also owns a big stake in JD.com, so its day got even better when the ecommerce powerhouse and Alibaba racked up a record-breaking $115 billion in Singles’ Day sales between them. US companies are feeling empowered by the holiday too: foreign brands as a whole were a big hit, but it was America's that came out on top.

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💬 Quote of the day

“Never do anything yourself that others can do for you.”

– Agatha Christie (the best-selling fiction writer of all time)
Tweet this
🤔 Q&A · RE: Cash Me If You Can

“How does the US stock market reflect the actual economy?”

– Van in Pennsylvania, USA

“The short answer, Van, is that it doesn’t. Tech companies, for example, make up 39% of the US stock market, but the tech industry only accounts for 6% of the US economy and 2% of its jobs. As for whether that gap will eventually narrow – well, that’s the $64,000 question. The economy might well shift to where capital’s being deployed over the next few years – that is, toward the industries forward-looking stock markets are already dominated by. And some might argue that it doesn’t matter if people in less productive industries lose their jobs if fast-growing, more productive sectors make up for the lost earnings (and then some). The more immediate concern, though, isn’t whether the economy will catch up to stock markets, but if stock markets will “correct” to more closely reflect the economy. Valuations are, in most cases, being propped up by central banks, and that won’t last forever – which means some analysts think it’s only a matter of time before we see a stock market crash of 10% or more.”

Finimize

🙋 Ask a question

🌎 Finimize Community

👯 Sisters are doing it for themselves

If you enjoyed our discussion with US female-focused robo advisor Ellevest a few weeks ago, you’ll definitely enjoy hearing from Anu Bhardwaj next Wednesday. Anu’s the founder of Women Investing in Women Digital, and on a mission to support more women in their own investing and professional journeys.

🌏 Fintech for Ethical Investing: 6pm Dubai Time, November 16th
🙋‍♀️ Women & Investing: 2pm UK Time, November 18th
📉 What’s Next For The African Economy: 4pm Ghana Time, Nov 18th
🤣 The Art of Finding The Joy of Money with Julia Newbould: 5.30pm Perth Time, November 19th
🚀 Next Gen Investor Summit: 12pm UK Time, December 1st

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