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Morning Brew April 07, 2021

Emerging Tech Brew

J.P. Morgan Wealth Management

Good afternoon. Yesterday, soon-to-be-public Coinbase reported Q1 earnings. The cryptocurrency exchange made a profit of $730–$800 million on ~$1.8 billion in revenue.

So, yeah...if you think you had a good quarter in crypto, just remember Coinbase’s was better.

In today’s edition: 

AI language models
China’s digital yuan
Digital X-rays

Ryan Duffy, Hayden Field

AI

Microscopic Models

Auditing code in an AI algorithm

Francis Scialabba

As a loyal reader of this newsletter, you probably know that large language models (LLMs) are machine learning algorithms that underpin powerful tools, like predictive texting and Google Search. You might also know that they’ve sparked a fierce debate in recent months. 

Recap: Because these pattern-tracking models are trained on large swaths of the internet, they can learn and amplify harmful behaviors, like generating racist and sexist language. Their use has tremendous environmental costs, and their decisions are difficult to track and explain. 

Meet the alternatives 

Alternative approaches to large language models are slowly gaining traction in research communities, but they haven’t really caught on yet industry-wide. They center on smaller systems—which can do some of the same work that larger models do, but in a more explainable and computationally efficient way.

First to bat: Moderate, retrieval-based language models. Unlike large language models, they keep a lot of the information they need in external storage, so it’s not adding a constant computational burden.

  • Think of it like regularly checking out a reference book from the library instead of trying to memorize all the contents, says Gadi Singer, a VP at Intel Labs.  

Next up: AI-augmented versions of rule-based models. Since rule-based models are more static, ML can flag areas that need new rules—and write those rules itself. The model’s decisions can then be tied back to the rules it’s using to make them, which helps with explainability. 

Switch hitter: Then there’s the tinyML movement, which focuses on small, simple models. The perks: They’re cheaper, can run on more devices, and have strongly reduced power consumption. 

  • “You can get a model that’s...maybe one one-thousandth the size of a general-purpose LLM, that can focus on one task and do it just as well,” says Leon Derczynski, a machine learning and language scientist. 

There’s always a “but” 

The data that retrieval-based models keep around for explainability purposes still takes up space. And rules written by a machine learning model are just as susceptible to bias. 

Big picture: “I think those models should be thought of as being in the same class, with the same risks,” Dr. Jacob Andreas, assistant professor at MIT, told us. “It’s easier to mitigate them—easier to understand, when a model starts behaving in a bad way, why it happened—but that’s not something fundamentally different.” 

Check out the on-site version of this story for more detail on these alternatives. —HF

DIGITAL CURRENCY

Leapfrogging to Cashless

Stablecoin

Francis Scialabba

For now, central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) are side projects for dozens of governments. Like any good side-hustler, the governments that have made the most progress are making a lot of noise about it. 

China’s digital yuan comes to mind. Most recently, the People’s Bank of China began testing the currency in Hong Kong and exploring cross-border transfer protocols with Thailand and the UAE. Digital yuan, known as Digital Currency Electronic Payment (DC/EP), is controlled by a central authority and administered through commercial banks.

DC/EP’s expeditious rollout is driven by China’s robust fintech sector and bitcoin. After studying the cryptocurrency, Beijing’s top banking official was equal parts “dazzled” and “frightened,” per the WSJ

  • The digital yuan is trackable from the top, though officials say some anonymity is built in. 
  • Digital yuan could become a financial workaround for any company or regime that is persona non grata in Washington. 
  • China could set expiration dates for digital yuan, inducing citizens or companies to spend it more quickly, the WSJ reports. 

Zoom out: Are the other central banks kicking the can down the road? Well, the US would tell you that first ≠ best. —RD

        

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HEALTH TECH

X-Rays: The Vision

Hospital-style shopping cart

Francis Scialabba

Five years ago, Geoffrey Hinton—AKA the “godfather of neural networks”—said, “People should stop training radiologists now,” because image perception algorithms would soon put them out of work entirely.

That prediction met the same bitter end as forecasts for Quibi subscribers and the long-term value of Beanie Babies. Radiologists are not only employed, but in high demand. They are getting better tech, though. 

On Friday, Nano-X Imaging got 510(k) clearance—a significant green light from the FDA—for its digital X-ray technology, which could bring down machine costs. 

Why this is big: X-ray tech is pricey and bulky, and it hasn’t changed much in the past century. Right now, machines have to heat cathodes to a high enough temperature to produce electrons and create an X-ray, then cool down those components. 

  • Nano-X’s approach → building specially designed semiconductors for X-ray production, without all the temperature requirements. The company told The Motley Fool it can mass-produce full-body scanners for $10,000, while current machines can cost 10x that or more. 

But, but, but: Nano-X still has to get FDA clearance for its cloud-based software, which allows for direct upload of X-ray images and uses ML-powered diagnostic algorithms to analyze them. —HF

        

BITS & BYTES

Tablet plugged into dock displaying error message

Francis Scialabba

Stat: According to records reviewed by BuzzFeed News, 7,000+ individuals from nearly 2,000 public agencies nationwide have used Clearview AI to search millions of Americans’ faces. 

Quote: "The idea of a centralized social network is just not going to exist five or 10 years in the future. There's a membrane or a chasm between the old world and this new crypto-native universe.”—Tyler Winklevoss to Forbes, when asked about Facebook. 

Listen: Tim Cook on the NYT’s Sway podcast. Two choice excerpts: “I can’t talk about anything that may or may not be in the pipeline,” but AR is an important part of the future, Cook confirmed. On cars: “There’s lots of things you can do with autonomy. And we’ll see what Apple does.” 

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WHAT ELSE IS BREWING

  • Encryption is an “essential” part of the internet, WhatsApp head Will Cathcart writes in Wired. 
  • GM announced that it will make the EV Chevrolet Silverado pickup at a new assembly plant under construction in Detroit. The automaker’s stock closed at an all-time high yesterday. 
  • Signal, a WhatsApp rival, is beta-testing a partnership with anonymity-oriented cryptocurrency MobileCoin.  
  • NASA successfully deployed the Ingenuity helicopter on Mars. 
  • TikTok will add auto-captions for US and Japanese users “in the coming months.” 
  • Sarcos, a startup that develops robotic exoskeletons, is planning a SPAC. 

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TRIVIA

Yahoo! Answers will shut down on May 4 for good. It’s the latest erasure of a time capsule from the early Internet 2.0 days, and a reminder that some parts of the web aren’t as permanent as we assume. On that note, let’s hope the links between NFTs and their digital media files’ addresses don’t break. 

Anywho, today’s trivia looks at the history of Yahoo!: Take the quiz here

HUMAN V. MACHINE

A new DARPA-funded dataset—called “Oops!” and made up of 20,338 YouTube fail videos—will help machines learn to flag unintentional human actions. We’re looking forward to the algorithm’s thoughts on that jogger who slipped on the snow and took a hard fall on live TV. 

ICYMI

Catch up on the top Emerging Tech Brew stories from the past few editions: 

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Written by Hayden Field and Ryan Duffy

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