The battle between FTX and Binance: why, will FTX crash?
With CoinDesk’s disclosure of Alameda’s financial data, which had nothing to do with Binance, but Binance’s attacks never stopped. Binance co-founder He Yi said to the event: “Binance does not give unsecured loans, does not participate in trading, does not blindly buy companies, does not blindly spend money on sponsorship, 20% of FTX equity has been sold, a clear conscience and keep building.” The first sentence, in particular, implies that FTX made large unsecured loans to Alameda. On November 6, someone said Binance wallet 0xd9… d7d7 transfers 23 million FTT’s (worth about $580 million) to FTX address 0x04… 8379 for sale. According to Wu’s further on-chain checks, address 0xd9…d7d7 may be the address where Binance invested in FTT to receive the linear unlock, while address 0x04…8379 is also attributed to Binance as a transit for transferring FTT to Binance’s official wallet. Perhaps because all FTT shares have already been unlocked, Binance is transferring all FTT into the official wallet at once. On the evening of November 6, Alameda CEO Caroline responded that the particular (CoinDesk disclosed) balance sheet is for a subset of our corporate entities, and that we have over $10 billion in assets not reflected there; that we have now returned most of our loans given the tightening of crypto credit space this year; and that we obviously have unlisted hedges. But Caroline’s simple response, which did not address the connected transactions and funding with FTX, hardly fully assuages outside concerns. Just when we think the storm will come to an end, who knows, Binance founder cz suddenly come down and drop a bombshell himself. CZ suddenly said that Binance received about $2.1 billion equivalent in BUSD and FTT for exiting a portion of FTX last year. due to recent revelations, Binance decided to liquidate any remaining FTT on its books. Binance will attempt to liquidate in a way that minimizes market impact, which is expected to take several months to complete due to market conditions and limited liquidity. FTT plummeted as a result. Caroline, for her part, responded in the interim that Alameda would be happy to buy FTT from you today at $22 if you want the FTT sale to have minimal impact on the market. SBF, which has been silent on the Alameda story, also had to come out and speak up, saying that he has a lot of respect for what you’ve done to build the industry we see today, whether they return it or not, and whether we use the same methods. Including CZ. no matter what — as always — it’s time to build. Make love (and blockchain), not war. CZ’s response was straightforward: liquidating our FTT was just post-exit risk management, learning from LUNA. We’ve supported it before, but we’re not going to pretend to have sex after the divorce. We’re not against anyone. But we will not support those who lobby behind the scenes against other industry players (alluding here to the previous controversy over SBF’s proposal to strengthen blacklisting and DeFi front-end KYC for the crypto industry). SBF then responded again: a bunch of unfounded rumors have been circulating. FTX’s finances are audited and while it sometimes slows us down on our products, we are highly regulated and we have processed billions of dollars in deposits/withdrawals today. (Implying there were large withdrawals after the rumors surfaced, but access is normal) There are also large dollar <> stablecoin conversions going on. At the end of the day you should do what you want to do and trade where you want to trade. We thank those who stayed; we will welcome others back when this is over. On The morning of November 6, research by The Data Nerd revealed that Alameda Research received 56 million USDC from the Circle and then transferred them to the FTX. They have sent $257m to FTX in the past 24 hours. Meanwhile, FTX has seen the largest stable coin outflows of any exchange over the past seven days. The net outflow was $292 million. Binance has seen inflows of $337 million in the past seven days, the largest stablecoin inflow entity, according to Nansen, which now has a balance of $26.6 billion. SBF’s restraint, it seems, made it impossible to continue the “quarrel”, and the matter seemed to be closed for the time being. What was the reason for the heated battle? We think there are three angles: Binance’s feud with FTX; FTX has recently challenged Binance; Binance has always been wary of its competitors. 1、 Binance was an investor in FTX, and this investment has been one of Binance’s biggest returns. But it is clear that Binance investment does not care about the return, the essence is strategic investment. CZ must be furious that its investment target has become its biggest competitor. Binance announced it was pulling out of the investment, and while it’s not clear what happened behind the scenes, the relationship did take a turn for the worse. 2、 Both FTX and Binance are wrestling with the rescue and acquisition of distressed assets such as Celsius Blockfi Voyager. They have a huge number of U.S. users and licenses, undoubtedly an asset that both sides are vying for. FTX scored a comprehensive victory. This seems to be related to their good relations in the US. In contrast, Binance previously had a U.S. CEO who left and went around attacking Binance and criticizing it as a Chinese company. CZ also had to respond with a long article explaining that it was Canadian. In contrast, FTX is leading the investment in some recent big projects such as Atpos, while Binance Labs can only follow, showing once again the dominance of FTX in the US cryptocurrency community. 3、 Binance’s DNA has always been wary of competitors. Not long after Huobi Junstin Sun made friendly with Chinese trader KOL liangxi , Binance immediately followed up with $150,000, which shows that it will not be superior because it has become the No1. In the face of FTX’s global ecological overshoot, it is indeed routine to crack down in every possible way. Finally, for the average user, the future of FTX and FTT may be of interest. Is FTX risky? We offer a few observations of our own that do not represent investment advice, and are likely to be wrong due to the severe opacity of the data. 1、 The FTX capital does not seem to be in particular trouble for the time being. (Although CEX is a black box, we can only tell from the appearance of some actions, such as quick payouts to victims of previous hits; Lots of lead investments, buyouts, political donations, etc. FTX is still spending big) 2、 Alameda’s complex correlation transactions with FTX are certain to exist, and this is where Binance attacks, and SBF does not dare to respond. The procedure is one side, the result is the other. As some professionals have analyzed, unlike 3AC and others who believe in the bitcoin supercircle and bet on the direction leading to the debacle, SBF and Alameda’s cold style (known for dumping their own investment project tokens) and biased shorting and bearish approach does not seem like another 3AC so far. 3、 What’s wrong with FTX? Indeed, he would be less able to withstand a future of multiple negative events, such as a hacking attack as a trigger. In addition, the opaque relationship between FTX and Alameda will also cause users’ concerns. The huge contrast between Three Arrow Capital and Three Arrow Capital has led to a high level of distrust in centralized institutions, which has led to the emergence of a large number of coin withdrawals (Binance will certainly not be absent from future attacks). We hope that SBF can take advantage of this incident to show more transparency, such as regularly disclosing FTX and Alameda’s audit report or part of the audit content (for example, who is the audit institution? Learn from Tether), give the public more confidence, and even turn the tide on Binance. Update: After a day of mass withdrawals, FTX appears to have stood the test, although many users waited hours to withdraw stablecoins. Follow us If you liked this post from Wu Blockchain, why not share it? |
Older messages
Global Crypto Mining News (Oct 31 to Nov 6)
Monday, November 7, 2022
1. Bitcoin miner Argo Blockchain's previous $27 million funding plan has been announced as a failure. The Company sold 3843 new-in-box Bitmain S19J Pro machines for cash proceeds of $5.6 million.
Asia's weekly TOP 10 crypto news (Oct 31 to Nov 6)
Sunday, November 6, 2022
Author:Lily Editor:Colin Wu 1. HongKong's weekly summary 1.1 HK Government releases Policy Statement on the Development of Virtual Assets in Hong Kong Link The Hong Kong SAR Government issued a
Weekly project updates: NFT markets' competitive overview, Ethereum's new routes, Art Gobblers, etc
Saturday, November 5, 2022
1. Arweave's weekly summary a. Arweave works with Meta to give Instagram creators with storage. link Arweave, a blockchain storage platform, revealed on November 3 that it has been incorporated
PECland: Gamefi + NFT + social new ideas that trying to break the budget game market
Saturday, November 5, 2022
Author: Carol @CC99Carol Editor: Colin Wu Abstract: Since the crypto market entered a bear market for half a year, the investment scale of top investment banks have all contracted to varying degrees.
WuBlockchain Weekly:75bps、Deribit & Gala Hacked、Alameda's BS Concerns and Top10 News
Friday, November 4, 2022
Top10 News 1、Fed raises rates by 75bps, US unemployment and nonfarm payrolls were both higher than expected in October This week, fed as scheduled to raise interest rates 75bps, Powell three key
You Might Also Like
What is DeFAI? The AI-enabled DeFi narrative looking to take 2025 by storm
Wednesday, January 15, 2025
AI-driven DeFi projects aim to simplify finance with real-time insights, trading, and personalized strategies, but face hurdles in transparency and security. ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
DeFi & L1L2 Weekly — 📈Solana’s daily DEX trading volume beat Ethereum’s by 84%; Sony launched its L2 blockchain, …
Wednesday, January 15, 2025
Solana's daily DEX trading volume beat Ethereum's by 84%. Sony launched its L2 blockchain, Soneium. Compound integrated Ethena's stablecoin and Mantle's liquid staking token. ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
DeFi & L1L2 Weekly — 📈Solana’s daily DEX trading volume beat Ethereum’s by 84%; Sony launched its L2 blockchain, …
Wednesday, January 15, 2025
Solana's daily DEX trading volume beat Ethereum's by 84%. Sony launched its L2 blockchain, Soneium. Compound integrated Ethena's stablecoin and Mantle's liquid staking token. ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
OKX Founder's Full Speech: "Always Hold Bitcoin"
Wednesday, January 15, 2025
January 14, 2025, OKX CEO Star delivered a speech via video link. ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
JPMorgan believes Solana, XRP ETPs could attract $15 billion in net inflows
Tuesday, January 14, 2025
Both assets register $2.5 billion in assets under management currently, with a little over $500 million in inflows registered last year. ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
Coin Metrics’ 2025 Crypto Outlook
Tuesday, January 14, 2025
Key Trends & Outlooks Shaping Digital Assets in the Year Ahead ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
Bitcoin’s sharp rise and fall starts week with $418 million in liquidations
Monday, January 13, 2025
Crypto positions unwind with $245M in longs liquidated across major exchanges. ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
₿ US-based entities hold 65% more BTC reserves than non-US entities; Crypto.com launched stocks and ETFs trading i…
Monday, January 13, 2025
US-based entities hold 65% more BTC than non-US entities; Crypto.com launched stocks and ETFs trading in the US; South Korea is reportedly planning to gradually allow institutional crypto trading ͏ ͏ ͏
Crypto Crash Imminent As US DOJ Sells Over 69K BTC
Monday, January 13, 2025
Monday Jan 13, 2025 Sign Up Your Weekly Update On All Things Crypto TL;DR Crypto Crash Imminent As US DOJ Sells Over 69K BTC Senator Lummis To Head New Crypto Subcommittee Dogecoin Fails To Break
2024 Cex Annual Report: Binance's lead narrowed, while Bybit spot and Bitget contracts grew significantly
Monday, January 13, 2025
In December, major exchanges recorded a 14% increase in spot trading volume, with Bitget leading at 102% growth, and a 6% rise in derivatives trading volume, where Gate saw the largest increase at 111%