PitchBook News - The rush to private debt

Also: Weight loss drugs and their impact on healthcare; The investment opportunity in energy efficient buildings; Talking AI fintech with 3 YC alumni.
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The Research Pitch
September 30, 2023
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Weight loss drugs: Brands such as Wegovy and Ozempic have activated a once-stagnant corner of medicine. Our research dives into the outsized impact these drugs could have on the healthcare ecosystem. Read it here.

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Investors continue to flock to private debt
Earlier this week, we released our semi-annual Global Private Debt Report, combining PitchBook insights with those from our colleagues at LCD into a single read.

LCD, of course, is the authority on all things leveraged finance related—i.e., high-yield loans and bonds that go into the making of M&A and LBO deals—among other uses. PitchBook brings to the table its years of tracking fundraising and fund performance in private debt and private assets more broadly.

The combined product packs a pretty good punch.

The Fed's decision to keep interest rates higher for longer is a reminder of private debt's appeal as floating-rate loans continue to beat bonds and almost equal stocks in year-to-date returns.

Other key takeaways from this new report:

• Private debt fundraising has overtaken VC and is second only to PE among private market strategies. The $94.9 billion raised in H1 is ahead of last year and tracking above $200 billion for the fourth consecutive year.

• Not included in that total is $16.6 billion in retail fundraising for non-traded BDCs, interval funds, and tender offer funds. These new structures have allowed private debt sponsors to gather an additional $200 billion in AUM over the last three years. The total AUM in private debt exceeds $1.75 trillion.
 


• Following a stellar year in 2022, when private debt outperformed PE and all other private capital strategies with the exception of real estate and real assets, the year is off to a strong start with floating-rate loans outperforming bonds by a wide margin. The Morningstar LSTA bellwether index is up 10.4% through September 22. That compares to +6.3% on high-yield bonds, the next-best performer in the US fixed income.

Direct lending continues to be the preferred substrategy for investors in private debt funds, accounting for 32% of total capital raised in H1.

Mezzanine ranked second at 27.9% but is coming on fast, growing its share by 15.8 percentage points in the last year and contributing several of the largest funds. Special situation funds were a close third, demonstrating how fundraising has diversified.

In addition to sizing up the retail opportunity for private credit sponsors, the report shares LCD's intelligence on the battle for market share between non-bank lenders and the bank-led syndicated loan market. These are both fairly opaque areas where data is hard to come by and where PitchBook and LCD have combined to shine a light.

Download our free Global Private Debt Report.
 
Enjoy the read!

Tim Clarke
Lead Analyst, Private Equity
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Market Updates  
 
Real estate fundraising is on track for a second straight year of declines, with nearly $67 billion in capital committed during H1 lagging last year's pace.

Meanwhile, a rebound in performance for publicly traded REITs has left some categories of private, closed-end real estate funds trailing behind.

Our Global Real Estate Report covers the best- and worst-performing strategies and spotlights REIT M&A with an eye on take-privates:
read the free report
 
 
Thematic Research  

Allocator Solutions: Timing is Everything

LPs face a lot of uncertainty with the timing and size of the capital calls they'll need to fund and the distributions they'll receive—a major hurdle for allocation planning.

But is there a pattern to each fund manager's cash flow?
 
Measuring the variance in cash flow patterns by strategy.

Using our new Cash Flow Timing Scores, our report tests whether historical cash flow data can be predictive.

It also breaks down which asset classes show the strongest persistence to help inform LPs:
read the free research
 

EV Charging

Is America ready for an electric vehicle makeover?

Less than 1% of the 275 million vehicles on American roads are EVs—and growing that figure will require a major upgrade to the country's charging port infrastructure.

The US government has allocated some $7.5 billion to spur the charging network build-out, and private networks like Tesla's Superchargers qualify for additional subsidies. Read more on what's needed to drive a transformation:
read the free research
 
 
Industry & Tech Research  
 
Can AI energize the internet-of-things market?

Our research covers the vertical's shifting landscape and growth areas in connected buildings and industrial IoT.

Indeed, large market opportunities for IoT startups remain, and generative AI could accelerate growth across the industry, according to our annual IoT Overview:
read a free preview
 
 
Enterprise SaaS has been relatively muted on the whole despite several blockbuster deals.

In Q1 and Q2, the vertical hit some of its lowest deal values since 2020, each down 50%-plus YoY.

Our Enterprise SaaS Report dives into the latest data, weighs the influence of two huge deals for OpenAI and Stripe, and explores the emerging investment opportunity in intelligent applications:
read a free preview
 
 
Webinars & Events  

US leveraged loan and private credit outlook

Improved market conditions have led to strength in the leveraged loan secondary market.

On Oct. 18, our LCD team will examine the trends that have defined the credit markets so far and what developments to expect in Q4: register here
  • Crypto tech talk: On Oct. 19, we're speaking with crypto experts from Goldman Sachs and Rosenblatt Securities about industry trends within traditional financial institutions, today's opportunity set, and the challenges at hand. Register here.
 
In the News  

Our insights and data featured in the press:
  • With new LP and performance tools, PitchBook wants to be known for being more than "a deal database." [Fortune]

  • Private debt fundraising is on pace to exceed $200 billion this year. [Axios]

  • Apple has purchased 21 AI startups since 2017, nearly double the total for Microsoft or Meta. [Quartz]

  • Last year, global VC investment in robotics and drone companies that focus on security totaled $814 million, up from $434 million in 2018. [FT]
If you're a journalist interested in interviewing our analysts or requesting data, contact our PR team.
 
 
ICYMI  

More of our other recent research:

Market updates
Thematic research
Industry & tech research
Credit research
Coming next week (subject to change)
  • PitchBook-NVCA Venture Monitor: First Look
  • Global Markets Snapshot: September
  • VC City Ecosystem Index
  • Sizing a VC Fund in Modern Times
  • How FedNow Compares to The World's Instant Payment Networks
  • Comp Sheets: Mobility, Foodtech, Enterprise SaaS, AI & Machine Learning
 

Thanks for reading! Feel free to email us any time with feedback, questions, or tips!

Learn more about the PitchBook Institutional Research Group, meet our analysts, or access our research libraries for clients and non-clients.

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