Justices fear legal 'chaos' if Trump barred from ballot

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During historic oral arguments yesterday, most Supreme Court justices seemed inclined to keep former President Donald Trump on the Colorado presidential ballot, despite his actions before, on and after the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol.

Their questions signaled a primary concern about the legal chaos that could happen if all 50 states had to separately evaluate whether Trump’s actions amounted to engaging in insurrection. And there could be further turmoil as states that found they did separately decide whether the 14th Amendment barred Trump not just from holding office but even being on the ballot.

Senior politics editor Naomi Schalit spoke with Derek Muller, an election law scholar at Notre Dame, for some analysis after the hearing. Muller observed that the justices appeared to generally agree that states shouldn’t be allowed to interpret the U.S. Constitution entirely on their own in situations like this, where their decisions would affect national politics. He warned that leaving unanswered the question of whether Trump is eligible to hold office could mean more litigation after the election, if Trump wins.

For the perspective of someone who has served on the federal bench, I spoke with retired federal judge John E. Jones III, now the president of Dickinson College. Like Muller, he expects the justices to overturn the Colorado ruling and allow Trump on the ballot. For Jones, a major concern was that the 14th Amendment was worded vaguely and poorly.

“I think it’s clear they’re going to reverse the Colorado Supreme Court. There’s no question in my mind,” he told me. “The surprise may be that some of the more liberal justices could join the majority.”

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Jeff Inglis

Politics + Society Editor

Even a day before the oral arguments, a line had formed outside the Supreme Court to sit in on the court’s session. AP Photo/Jose Luis Magana

‘Look for a reversal in a fairly short period of time’ − former federal judge expects Supreme Court will keep Trump on Colorado ballot

John E. Jones III, Dickinson College

A retired federal judge examines the oral arguments the Supreme Court heard on a case in which Colorado has blocked former President Donald Trump from the ballot.

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