PitchBook News - An unheralded emerging market

Also: AI is dominating early-stage dealmaking by top VCs; New research on cancer vaccine development, automotive software, high-performance computing.
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The Research Pitch
June 8, 2024
May markets bloom: The US markets had a nice bounce last month, with the S&P 500 up 5% and the Nasdaq 100 up 6.4%. Our new Global Markets Snapshot tracks May's performance across a range of views. Read it here.

Fintech focus: Can a consumer-focused budgeting app make it? Our new Retail Fintech Report unpacks the latest data and dives into the world of personal financial management. Read a free preview.

Event recaps: To make sure you never miss a thing, our analysts publish key takeaways from the conferences they attend. See our latest here:
 
Mega-unicorn Canva highlights the private market landscape Down Under
Australia and New Zealand don't often show up on lists of top emerging private markets.

Those lists will generally be populated by the likes of Latin America, India, or Southeast Asia.

Right now, though, Australia has something that none of those other markets can claim: a $40 billion unicorn.

For VC especially, hopes of the next wave of growth are pinned on Canva ($40 billion valuation) and, to a lesser degree, Airwallex ($5.5 billion) providing two blockbuster exits in a young market.

Together, the two would help triple the total exit value realized by Australia- and New Zealand-based startups from 2015 through Q1 2024: $18.9 billion.
 
An exit from Canva ($40B) would be huge for the region.

For both PE and VC, the ability to create exit value has been a struggle. No year has produced more in exit value than has been invested during the same timeframe. The relatively small size of the region (combined population of around 31 million) adds challenges for driving returns through company expansion alone.

A greater importance is placed on margin and multiple expansion driving value growth for most companies and their investors.

While nascency alone adds to the intrigue, the region also offers investment within countries that have stable political regimes, developed economies, and strong financial systems, which are not always the case within the other emerging ecosystems.

And with large exits on the horizon, the potential coming wave of investors and capital should only further boost the market's image.

It's not unlikely that Australia and New Zealand will start showing up in conversations around top emerging private markets in the near future.

For more data and analysis, download our inaugural Australia & New Zealand Private Capital Breakdown.
 
Best,

Kyle Stanford, CAIA
Lead Analyst, Venture
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Industry & Tech Research  
 
AI is dominating early-stage dealmaking by top VCs—and it isn't even close compared to other verticals.

Our new Emerging Tech Indicator, which tracks activity by a segment of high-performing investors, found that AI & ML accounted for over a third of ETI deal value in Q1.

Meanwhile, crypto continues its rebound, with a more than 50% jump in deal value quarter-over-quarter:
read the free report
 
 
A cure for cancer is a holy grail of biopharmaceutical research—and some clinical trials have begun to show promising signs.

Drug researchers are incorporating new technologies like mRNA into cancer vaccine development, according to our Biopharma Report.

Our new research also explores the emerging opportunity in engineered B-cell therapeutics:
read a free preview
 

Automotive Software

The automotive industry is at an inflection point. Driven by electric vehicles, a digital transformation powered by software is underway.

For traditional automakers, the transition has been bumpy, but startups may hold the key to carmakers' desire to fast-track software development and deployment.

Our note explores why Tesla and companies in China have been successful:
read the free research
 

Emerging Space Brief: High-Performance Computing

From scientific research to finance to entertainment, opportunities abound in high-performance computing.

Our Emerging Space Brief explores these powerful processors and networks as the sector is expected to be pushed to new heights by advancements in AI:
read the free research
 
 
Market Updates  
 
France's economy showed signs of improvement in Q1 as GDP grew and inflation fell, but the country's budget deficit was above target at 5.5% of GDP in 2023, increasing from the year before.

Our France Market Snapshot combines PitchBook data on VC and PE trends with other datasets to capture a wider view of the financial landscape:
read the free report
 
 
Webinars & Events  

Two events to add to your calendars:

June 20: If you're curious about how we've integrated credit data, indexes, and more into the PitchBook Platform, we'll discuss what credit market participants can expect for the remainder of the year and how to leverage our tools in your workflows. Register here.

June 26: What are the benefits of a larger, more diverse, venture portfolio compared to a more concentrated focus? Our live discussion with professionals from Screendoor and Pioneer Fund will explore strategies around seed-stage portfolio construction. Register here.
 
 
Commentary  

Senior analyst Brendan Burke weighs in on Databricks' acquisition of Tabular at a price of more than $1 billion:

"This acquisition validates the opportunity for the composable data stack laid out in our data analytics launch report.

"Tabular commercialized Apache Iceberg, a NewSQL table format project that recently surpassed 5,000 GitHub stars with widespread adoption from tech giants. NewSQL extends the SQL query language to transactional databases that can support both relational and schema-free formats across highly scalable clusters.

"Databricks believes the project can provide a base layer for generative AI fine tuning yet the acquisition primarily resolves incompatible data table formats for Databricks' own lakehouse architecture.

"In the composable data stack niche, MotherDuck can become an independently large company by commercializing DuckDB."

 
Brendan Burke

Senior Emerging Technology Analyst
AI & Machine Learning
 
In the News  

Our insights and data featured in the press:
  • In Q1, VC deal value for pre-seed and seed-stage AI deals dropped by 76% from its peak. [Reuters]

  • Reconciling investor frustration in the different settlement cycles between traditional equity and crypto markets. [Fortune]

  • Biopharma funding levels will be at a "new normal" until federal interest rates change. [Fierce Biotech]
If you're a journalist interested in interviewing our analysts or requesting data, contact our PR team.
 
 
ICYMI  

More of our recent research (* - report preview):

Market updates
Thematic research
Industry & tech research
Credit research
Coming next week (subject to change)
  • US PE Middle Market Report
  • US PE Lending League Tables
  • Germany Market Snapshot
  • Foodtech Report*
  • Insurtech Report*
  • Evaluating the Europe VC dealmaking funnel
 

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