Today’s 2020 Election Polls: Biden Maintains Lead In Michigan, Race Tight In North Carolina

TOPLINE

President Donald Trump and Democratic challenger Joe Biden are running a tight race in North Carolina, a state the president won in 2016 by 3.5 points, while Biden is continuing to lead in Michigan.

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KEY FACTS

Nationally, Biden continues to lead, though by how much depends on the pollster: The latest poll from Rasmussen, which tends to favor Trump, has Biden ahead by three points while an IBD/TIPP poll has him up by six points and a Hofstra University poll has Biden leading by 11 points.

It’s a tight race in North Carolina: Cardinal Point Analytics and Rasmussen have Trump ahead of Biden by one and two points, respectively, while an NBC/Marist poll found Biden up six points among likely voters.

Other polls from this week, including from Ipsos and New York Times/Siena, have Biden narrowly ahead of Trump in North Carolina, and FiveThirtyEight still forecasts Biden as slightly favored to win there.

A YouGov poll shows Biden ahead by two points in Florida, reinforcing polls earlier this week from Monmouth University and Ipsos that also show Biden ahead in the battleground state.

A Kiaer Research poll found Biden up 13 points in Michigan, maintaining his strong lead in a state Trump narrowly won in 2016.

WHAT TO WATCH FOR

Trump is making a last-minute push in North Carolina by holding a rally there on Monday, the day before the election. He’s also traveling to Pennsylvania over the weekend, another state where he won in 2016 but is trailing behind in polls now.

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