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Before you Trade Today: Know the Economic Calendar! Also See This Weeks Most Anticipated Earnings (Note: Red on the Earnings Calendar Indicates an Earnings Loss [Not Miss] Consensus), & Yesterdays Insider Buys. NEVER BE SURPRISED BY EASILY ANTICIPATED MARKET BREAKING NEWS. That’s our goal here.

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TODAYS COMMENTARY Get a Cup of Coffee & Enjoy Catching Up! If you aren’t reading this daily you are missing out on a wealth of information that could prevent unforced & unnecessary trading errors.

MARKET OUTLOOK SUMMARY: GDP Growth Negative QoQ, Fed De-stimulating the Economy, Inflation Continues to Rise, Shanghai Continues Lockdowns, Food & Oil Supply Remains Scarce, Housing/Rent Continues to Increase (Home Shortage), Refinancing is Declining, Interest on Loans Continue to Increase, Consumer Spending is Growing at a Crawl, & a Number of Institutions Expect a Recession Within the Next Year. Earnings are OK, but inflation is chipping away at profit margin & estimates are consistently revised downward for many, if not most, companies. If you’re a bull in this market you had better be prepared to hold for a long time.

YESTERDAY’S ECONOMIC DATA: The ISM (Institute for Supply Management) Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers Index) was released yesterday at 10:00 ET. The ISM Manufacturing PMI is a composite index that gives equal weighting to new orders, production, employment, supplier deliveries, and inventories. In short, this measures growth in factory activity. Each factor is seasonally adjusted. Consensus estimate was 57.6, although the actual number came in at 55.4. This indicates slowing factory activity, which isn’t surprising given inflation and the fact that tax returns were less than traditionally experienced this year (Due to the early child tax credit stimulus payouts).

THIS WEEK’S ECONOMIC DATA: Today we have the JOLT Job Openings for March (1000 ET). Current consensus is 11.266m. A dramatic increase in job openings can mean that firms are having a tough time finding labor which can mean more inflation as they compete for but a limited labor pool. A dramatic decrease can mean companies are looking for less labor. At times when we should expect inflation to take its toll, it would not surprise me if this number comes in lower than expected.

There will be a lot of market moving data reported this Wednesday, but all eyes will be on the Fed’s interest rate decision at 2:00pm ET & the Fed Press Conference at at 2:30pm ET. Expect a half a percent rate hike & some clarification on unloading the balance sheet. If they had any sense it would be more than 0.5%, however this Fed is attempting to be as careful as they possible can in the hopes of a soft landing, & perhaps, so as to not to draw political ire prior to November midterms. I don’t know what a “soft landing” looks like … because it’s never been done. However the Fed is excellent at rocket like takeoffs when they want to stimulate the economy.

YESTERDAYS EARNINGS: AMG AKTS ARLP AUDC AXSM BKCC BSBK CNA DYN NPO EPD GLMD GPN GPRE INMD ITRI JELD MCO ON PK SAIA SMLR SBT SXC TKR WEC AGNC AMRC AWR ARGO CAR BIGC BSM BXP BRX CBT CSR CHGG CTRA CACC CURO CVI DVN FANG PLOW DZSI EARN EXPE FN FLS FRPT HLIT IPI KAMN KMPR KFRC LEG MGM MPWR OHI OGS ORA OTTR QTWO RHP SANM CC CLX MOS WMB RIG VRNS VNOM WWD

Significant News Heading into 05.03.2022:

• Stock futures are flat after big market reversal to start May

• European stocks mostly higher after ‘flash crash,’ big reversal in U.S. markets

• Hong Kong stocks rise as Alibaba slips; Australia hikes interest rate

• 10-year Treasury yield holds at 3%; benchmark German bund yield hits 1%

• ‘Bubble’ hitting 50% of market, top investor warns as Fed gets ready to meet

• Stocks making the biggest moves after hours: Chegg, Clorox, Devon Energy and more

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• 6 Stocks near/at/above the Buy Zone (Waiting to Swing).

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• A Detailed Breakdown of Yesterdays Earnings Beats & Misses

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