Earnings+More - Weekend Edition #87
Weekend Edition #87Flutter going west, Wynn Macau’s rebound, Rush Street shares drop, sector watch – payments, Jobsboard +MoreGood morning, welcome to your weekender. In this edition:
When you go will you send back a letter from America? Flutter going westFlutter is still consulting with shareholders but analysts consider a US listing a done deal. We should have held you, we should have told you: Saying Flutter was “taking our ball away”, the team at Peel Hunt said the clear pivot towards North America meant a US listing “makes increasing sense”.
Money well spent: Wells Fargo noted that in Q4, ex-investment in new launches, FanDuel was EBITDA positive at $36m, with the Maryland and Ohio launch spend coming at at $78m. JMP noted FanDuel was “proving its time advantage and the tie to a large global operator separates it from any US competitor”.
Flywheel watch🤮 3 appearances in the presentation. 🤠 Share reaction this week will harden US listing convictions ** SPONSOR’S MESSAGE ** Tried, tested and proven over a decade in the highly-regulated US market, and continuing to expand across Europe, Latin America, Asia and Africa. GeoComply harnesses the power of its market-leading geolocation technology to protect against fraud, including fake account creations, bonus abuse, account takeovers, stolen identities, money laundering, and more. Visit geocomply.com. Wynn ahead of the gameWynn’s Macau subsidiary has seen adj. EBITDA in the first two months of the year rebound significantly, according to Q123 pre-announced earnings. Strength in numbers: Coinciding with a debt offering in Hong Kong, Wynn said the business in Macau saw “particular strength” in visitor numbers over the Chinese New Year and that trading post-holiday season continued to be robust.
The offering consists of $500m in convertible debt, which left Wells Fargo perplexed, given the current Macau environment suggested traditional debt options would have been available.
On the downloadPullback: A 17% decline in app downloads YoY in February was a sign of operators pulling back on their collective marketing efforts as well as a tough comp against launches in New York and Louisiana last year, according to analysts at JMP.
On social: Checkd Group’s FlashPicks found that behind FanDuel and DraftKings, bet365 is the app its users most like to use. ICYMIOn Compliance+More this week, we examined the latest consultation from the UK Gambling Commission on whether to include an operators’ licensing provision to notify about any customer suicides. The Commission ducked C+M’s questions. On Earnings+More this week
On Compliance+More this week
JobsboardReminder: See down the page for our new Jobsboard service. Analyst takesRush Street: The company is on course to produce $34m of EBITDA next year, according to the team at Roth MKM, after it reported its Q4 earnings this week. But it is the potential for takeout that excites, with RSI a potential target for either an existing operator, such as Caesars, Penn or Bally’s, or a new entrant.
🤷 Rush Street fell nearly 10% on the day after its Q4 earnings Everi: B Riley analysts suggested the company’s fintech cashless transaction was going under the radar. The technology was now connected with 100k units or ~10% of the North American market and cashless transactions for Everi rose 42% YoY.
Golden Entertainment: The below-2019 occupancy rates at the Strat in Las Vegas gave analysts something to chew on when the company reported earnings this week. CBRE noted Las Vegas midweek occupancy is still ~6% below Q419 but they expected that to narrow this year. Earnings in briefSciPlay: Growth outpaced the casual games market in Q4, with the company’s social casino games growing 14.5% YoY versus a decline of 3% across the rest of the market. The company noted that Jackpot Party was cited as the no.1 social game by Eilers & Krejcik Gaming.
Sector watch – paymentsWorldPay is set to become an independent entity once more as owner FIS writes down $18bn against the acquisition from 2019. Hot potato: The pass the parcel game involving WorldPay is continuing after payments giant FIS gave up the ghost of trying to make its $43bn acquisition from 2019 work. The company confirmed in mid-February it would be spinning out the business with former WorldPay CEO Charles Drucker returning as a strategic advisor.
What are we going to do now? WorldPay was founded in 1989 and at one point was owned by Royal Bank of Scotland. It was bought by Vantiv in 2017 for $10.4bn. FIS said that the WorldPay business would generate growth of 2-4% in 2023, something that Dracker will hope to improve upon.
** SPONSOR’S MESSAGE ** Founded in 2013, Metric Gaming is based in Las Vegas and London and developed the industry’s first truly multi-tenant sportsbook platform, purpose-built to support operators across multiple territories, regions or States. Metric is proud to be partnered with both Racebook HQ and Lacerta Sports (powered by Starlizard) and will roll out innovative MTS solutions for both racing and sports in 2023, including soccer and four main US sports. To find out more, please visit www.metricgaming.com NewslinesSqueezebox: UK National Lottery operator-to-be Allwyn has secured a €335m, six-year accordion loan. LeoVegas has been granted a new gaming license by the German Federal States’ Joint Gambling Authority (GGL). Fanatics received a sports-betting license from the Tennessee regulator. FanDuel has been named a new official sports-betting partner of the MLB. All set: Better Collective said it is ready to launch its sports-media brands in Massachusetts. Calendar
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Flutter looks beyond FanDuel ‘just being profitable’
Thursday, March 2, 2023
Flutter's profit leap, Rush Street's 'great strides', Light & Wonder on the up, bet365's Ohio progress +More
PointsBet plunges on widening losses
Wednesday, March 1, 2023
PointsBet half-year results disappoint, Australian Betr raises cash, Ohio debut numbers, Las Vegas highs +More
DraftKings’ hopes in the spotlight
Tuesday, February 28, 2023
Analysts at Roth look at DraftKings' long-term prospects, UK online for 2022 examined, Caesars' Illinois claims tested +More
Caesars’ $6m question
Monday, February 27, 2023
Caesars' promotional spend analyzed, Ohio debut apps tested, gaming REITS review, startup focus – Splash Tech +More
Weekend Edition #86
Friday, February 24, 2023
PointsBet says no to Mass, SIS sale, Bally's new broom, Churchill Downs focuses on HRMs, sector watch – affiliates +More
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