Trevor McKendrick - Why John Carmack worked for Steve Jobs

Hi all,

55 people have bet on my Manifold prediction market on whether I’ll be 145 pounds the morning of January 1, 2025. It’s been funny & motivating to see so many people bet NO, driving down the price.

TBH I’d bet NO on most people losing weight.

Trevor

Founder Mode (article)

Required reading for anyone in the startup world, if nothing else so you know WTH everyone else is talking about.

My take: founders shouldn’t be afraid to exercise more control, and make more decisions just because they are the founders. Sometimes you just freaking know.

But: sometimes you will be wrong, and sometimes you will be catastrophically wrong. Giving founders creates a much wider distribution of outcomes, on both the left & right side of the curve.

Feels quite similar to how having a good King can create an amazing country, but a bad king can self-destruct an entire empire.

For countries you do want a narrower distribution of outcomes.

For venture-backed startups, you want a wider distribution of outcomes.

Jason Lemkin on founder mode (Tweet)

Jason’s biggest success as a founder was selling Echosign prematurely to Adobe for $150m (I audited the transaction when I worked for KPMG in SFBA)

Here he says he was the most aloof in his career on that particular company. I don’t yet know what to really think of this. My best take is that

Morgan Housel - A Few Little Ideas and Short Stories(Article)
Morgan House - Useful and Overlooked Skills (Article)
John Carmack(Facebook Post)
The Bands and the Fans were fake(Article)

Share the newsletter…

Here’s a link to today’s newsletter: https://ckarchive.com/b/wvu2hgh5l580qc9r552rqtnx859xxs8

Sign up for the newsletter…

If you got this from a friend, you can sign up to get the newsletter for free every Monday morning here



Older messages

I started a prediction market for my weight

Tuesday, August 27, 2024

Hi all, I started a prediction market for my weight on Manifold 26 days ago. The prompt is “Will I weigh <145 pounds by Jan 1, 2025?” It will resolve to YES if my weigh-in on the morning of Jan 1,

Great tweets

Tuesday, August 20, 2024

Hi all, Have a great week! Trevor Great tweets “I'm a Jew but let me tell you, "As He died to make men holy, let us die to make men free" is platinum tier, top-shelf, cannot be beat

Sabbath Hard and Go Home

Monday, August 12, 2024

Hi all, I got back last week from the Olympics, it was fantastic. I thought the Olympics might be dying a bit after Tokyo 2020 but I feel like this year in person and online were the best they've

Optimism today, tomorrow, and forever

Monday, July 15, 2024

Hi all, I hope you find something in today's newsletter that you enjoy. Make this an incredible week. Trevor Articles Tyler Cowen modeling positive & negative contagion “When people feel bad

Claims about Taylor Swift

Monday, June 17, 2024

Hi all, Friendly reminder that optimism should be a verb - something you do. Trevor Fatherhood as Practicing Virtue (article) This moved me in a way that I never would have appreciated before becoming

You Might Also Like

Closing Tonight • Black Fri TO CyberMon Book Promos for Authors

Sunday, November 24, 2024

Book Your Spot Now to Get Seen During the Busiest Shopping Season of the Year! ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ "ContentMo is at the top of my promotions list because I always

What it feels like

Sunday, November 24, 2024

Plus, an AI newsletter tool and how to create higher-converting buttons ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏

🌱UNESCO x Dior mentorship program, Funded internships at UNICEF, Education visa to Netherlands

Sunday, November 24, 2024

The Bloom Issue #192, Nov 24 ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏

Food for Agile Thought #470: A Short Overview of PM Tools, Product Strategy and Clarity, Bayer’s Bold Bet, Delivering Bad News

Sunday, November 24, 2024

Also: The Brilliant Jerk, POM When Agile Failed? Example Mapping, Discovery Done Right ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏

Closes Tomorrow • Black Fri TO CyberMon Book Promos for Authors

Sunday, November 24, 2024

Book Your Spot Now to Get Seen During the Busiest Shopping Season of the Year! ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ "ContentMo is at the top of my promotions list because I always

Kindle & Audiobook : Santa's List: A Short Christmas Story by Riley Blake

Saturday, November 23, 2024

They have big plans for an international killer with an impeccable reputation for always hitting his mark. ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌

Ask your way to product market fit

Saturday, November 23, 2024

Use the Sean Ellis Method and the 40% Test ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏

The end of productivity

Saturday, November 23, 2024

Has AI made this obsolete? ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏

Setting Gift-Giving Guidelines for a Minimalist Holiday Season

Saturday, November 23, 2024

Setting Gift-Giving Guidelines for a Minimalist Holiday Season A question I frequently hear from readers aspiring to live a more minimalist holiday season goes like this: “How do you handle holiday

[Electric Speed] Blind spots | Bluesky

Saturday, November 23, 2024

Plus: advent calendars | holiday cards ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏