Trevor McKendrick - Why John Carmack worked for Steve Jobs

Hi all,

55 people have bet on my Manifold prediction market on whether I’ll be 145 pounds the morning of January 1, 2025. It’s been funny & motivating to see so many people bet NO, driving down the price.

TBH I’d bet NO on most people losing weight.

Trevor

Founder Mode (article)

Required reading for anyone in the startup world, if nothing else so you know WTH everyone else is talking about.

My take: founders shouldn’t be afraid to exercise more control, and make more decisions just because they are the founders. Sometimes you just freaking know.

But: sometimes you will be wrong, and sometimes you will be catastrophically wrong. Giving founders creates a much wider distribution of outcomes, on both the left & right side of the curve.

Feels quite similar to how having a good King can create an amazing country, but a bad king can self-destruct an entire empire.

For countries you do want a narrower distribution of outcomes.

For venture-backed startups, you want a wider distribution of outcomes.

Jason Lemkin on founder mode (Tweet)

Jason’s biggest success as a founder was selling Echosign prematurely to Adobe for $150m (I audited the transaction when I worked for KPMG in SFBA)

Here he says he was the most aloof in his career on that particular company. I don’t yet know what to really think of this. My best take is that

Morgan Housel - A Few Little Ideas and Short Stories(Article)
Morgan House - Useful and Overlooked Skills (Article)
John Carmack(Facebook Post)
The Bands and the Fans were fake(Article)

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Older messages

I started a prediction market for my weight

Tuesday, August 27, 2024

Hi all, I started a prediction market for my weight on Manifold 26 days ago. The prompt is “Will I weigh <145 pounds by Jan 1, 2025?” It will resolve to YES if my weigh-in on the morning of Jan 1,

Great tweets

Tuesday, August 20, 2024

Hi all, Have a great week! Trevor Great tweets “I'm a Jew but let me tell you, "As He died to make men holy, let us die to make men free" is platinum tier, top-shelf, cannot be beat

Sabbath Hard and Go Home

Monday, August 12, 2024

Hi all, I got back last week from the Olympics, it was fantastic. I thought the Olympics might be dying a bit after Tokyo 2020 but I feel like this year in person and online were the best they've

Optimism today, tomorrow, and forever

Monday, July 15, 2024

Hi all, I hope you find something in today's newsletter that you enjoy. Make this an incredible week. Trevor Articles Tyler Cowen modeling positive & negative contagion “When people feel bad

Claims about Taylor Swift

Monday, June 17, 2024

Hi all, Friendly reminder that optimism should be a verb - something you do. Trevor Fatherhood as Practicing Virtue (article) This moved me in a way that I never would have appreciated before becoming

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