Trevor McKendrick - The world is not efficient

Hi all,

The drama continues in the prediction market for whether my weight will be <145 pounds on January 1st.

The price has spiked up & down, including with bets from someone whose username is “Evil Trevor” who bet against me (for the record: I am not Evil Trevor!)

As I write this the price is 62% YES:

My goal is to be at 155 lbs by the end of September. I’m very confident I can lose another 10 pounds in the final 3 months of the year, holidays be damned.

Check out the market & place a bet here. It’s really fun having a stock price related to a personal goal.

Trevor

When Saddam Hussein held a public purge (YouTube)

He gives a talk and starts calling out names of people in the audience. You did not want your name called.

How to Succeed at Mr. Beast Productions (document)

This feels like old news now but I read every word and think it’s worth reading if you’re ambitious.

What I noticed was:

1) How specific he was about their goal.

2) How much he hated bureaucracy, even some of which is probably necessary

3) How he sometimes hedged even though you know he wanted to go all the way.

”Founder Mode” Discussion(tweet)

Patrick Collison’s take on Founder Mode. Self-recommending.

”I just fundamentally don’t believe the world is efficient” (tweet)

Nat Friedman’s thoughts & curiosity on why people don’t do more things. See also Nat’s personal website.

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