It’s Day Two, and boy. This is … not one of the games of the season! Fifteenth vs. 16th! Feel the excitement, baby.

Despite, uh, just two wins from 15 games, Brighton have the fifth-best expected-goal differential in the league (per Stats Perform). Their attack is right around league-average (ninth in xG), but they’ve allowed the third-fewest xG in the league behind Chelsea and Manchester City. So, why the impressive performances but poor results? Mainly: terrible goalkeeping! Per FBRef’s Statsbomb data, Matthew Ryan has allowed the joint-most goals below average (3.2, tied with Rui Patricio of Wolves) in the league so far this season. However, Ryan’s been dropped for 23-year-old Robert Sanchez, and Brighton have drawn the last three games with the young Spaniard in net. If all else remains equal and Sanchez just makes the average saves you’d expect a keeper to make, then Brighton should start to rise up the table.

As for Arsenal, they’re worse than Brighton, but higher in the table, but nowhere near where they want to be, but also probably not quite as bad as they seem. The Gunners rank 11th in xGD, with the 12th-best attack and ninth-best defense. It’s all so meh. In a way, Graham Potter’s team is what Mikel Arteta wishes his could be — save for the results. The average possession for both sides lasts longer than league-average, and they both move the ball up the field at the exact same speed: 1.13 meters per second — slower than every team in the league other than Southampton. In other words, both teams are trying to use possession as a defensive tactic, but Brighton are the only ones doing it effectively — again, save for the results.

Kick off is at 1 pm EST. See ya then.