Presidential State-By-State Results & Exit Polls

Plus: Election Day Alerts: Voters In Michigan, Iowa, New York Told To ‘Stay Home’

Latest Election News

Three states to keep a close eye on are the ones that put Trump over the top in 2016—Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania—each of which he won by less than 1 point and where he trails Biden by between 5 and 8 points in the FiveThirtyEight polling average. But the results of those three states may not be apparent on election night as many of their votes, in the form of mail-in ballots, will be counted in the days after Tuesday, which is expected to result in a “blue shift” as polls suggest mail voters are heavily Democratic. Another group of Eastern states that aren’t as vital for a Biden victory – Georgia, Florida and North Carolina, which Trump won by 1 to 5 points in 2016 – should have most votes counted by Election Day, but given that FiveThirtyEight had Biden up by just 1 to 3 points in each state, the handful of mail-in votes counted afterwards (also expected to lean Democratic) could be crucial. A handful of other states serve as canaries in the coalmine: if Trump is outperforming expectations in Democratic-leaning states like Maine and Minnesota, or Biden is strong in Texas or South Carolina – even if they’re not winning – they may serve as signs of a decisive showing to come.